Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.030348 0.032715 0.035193 0.037983 0.041040 0.044294 0.048023
2025-02-09 0.026316 0.029647 0.033320 0.037686 0.042751 0.048464 0.055427
2025-02-16 0.023670 0.027555 0.032010 0.037528 0.044218 0.052119 0.062232
2025-02-23 0.021629 0.025844 0.030833 0.037221 0.045253 0.055106 0.068249
2025-03-02 0.020143 0.024608 0.030037 0.037191 0.046474 0.058252 0.074555
2025-03-09 0.018690 0.023268 0.028962 0.036655 0.046913 0.060318 0.079491
2025-03-16 0.017374 0.021988 0.027845 0.035934 0.046987 0.061819 0.083673
2025-03-23 0.016375 0.021042 0.027078 0.035587 0.047484 0.063856 0.088677
2025-03-30 0.015496 0.020193 0.026372 0.035249 0.047929 0.065796 0.093622
2025-04-06 0.014584 0.019241 0.025463 0.034554 0.047793 0.066851 0.097274
2025-04-13 0.014123 0.018876 0.025328 0.034925 0.049190 0.070198 0.104635
2025-04-20 0.013576 0.018358 0.024943 0.034899 0.049977 0.072653 0.110751
2025-04-27 0.013200 0.018067 0.024869 0.035330 0.051486 0.076330 0.119177
2025-05-04 0.012620 0.017454 0.024300 0.034984 0.051770 0.078093 0.124562
2025-05-11 0.012138 0.016959 0.023874 0.034823 0.052320 0.080297 0.130850
2025-05-18 0.011658 0.016443 0.023390 0.034539 0.052644 0.082130 0.136610
2025-05-25 0.011279 0.016060 0.023083 0.034511 0.053368 0.084660 0.143804
2025-06-01 0.010808 0.015518 0.022508 0.034020 0.053289 0.085801 0.148515
2025-06-08 0.010326 0.014939 0.021850 0.033360 0.052881 0.086332 0.152098
2025-06-15 0.009956 0.014516 0.021417 0.033042 0.053032 0.087844 0.157670
2025-06-22 0.009610 0.014117 0.021004 0.032733 0.053173 0.089334 0.163305
2025-06-29 0.009210 0.013620 0.020412 0.032096 0.052699 0.089660 0.166609
2025-07-06 0.009046 0.013487 0.020400 0.032436 0.053976 0.093307 0.177030